Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?

• 01
  Price move

  Down 15pp over 24h

  Now 81¢; +0.9pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

• 03
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 4.2¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases