Decimal-Dearest
0x55aed236a5f8748d28e304cd96108769682492d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$3.27
Total PnL
$-212.18
Realised
$-6.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-2.76
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
585 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
361 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.95
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 10?
218 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
186 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
151 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6PM ET
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$0.00Mar 27, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$0.00Mar 27, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$0.00Mar 27, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 12?$0.00Mar 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5.37Jan 31, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$2.56Jan 31, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.07Jan 31, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$0.10Jan 31, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$2.63Jan 31, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$6.03Jan 31, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 31, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$21.04Jan 31, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$16.47Jan 30, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$16.47Jan 30, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$5.12Jan 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$7.00Jan 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$5.00Jan 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$20.00Jan 28, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.