Tall-Boon
0x55b4a0847bcc1b28a36ac33df090a0c937e8513c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$70.63
Total PnL
$-210.61
Realised
$-20.36
Win rate
5%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.97
$-1.03
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.41
$3.41
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$12.29
$2.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$7.29
$2.29
- NO
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.69
$0.69
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.83
$-7.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
199 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$10.00Aug 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.35Aug 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$5.14Aug 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$5.07Aug 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$5.17Aug 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$10.00Aug 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5.18Aug 3, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.00Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$5.14Jun 10, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$10.23Jun 10, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$10.00Jun 10, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$10.46Jun 3, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$5.18Jun 3, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$10.30Jun 3, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$10.22Jun 3, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 3, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.16Jun 3, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?$5.32Jun 3, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.38Jun 3, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$6.10Jun 3, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.