Only-Aggression
0x55c541e441f41f7eb4d820904769c00ad935e1b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?
207 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 29?
196 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?
173 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?
138 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?
129 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?
122 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 25?
112 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 21?
94 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 24?
91 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?$3.10Jul 1, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$2.06Jun 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?$2.03May 31, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$81.07May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28?$78.80May 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?$1.19May 26, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$1.38May 24, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$76.08May 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$0.31May 19, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$73.26May 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?$3.20May 17, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$78.13May 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$75.16May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?$4.34Apr 25, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$86.21Apr 25, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 20?$0.00Apr 18, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 21?$0.00Apr 11, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?$0.00Mar 31, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$0.10Mar 31, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$84.56Mar 31, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.