Knowing-Staircase
0x55d5d5be7896a61e9ef16266ec87e034dc81b270
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.25
Total PnL
$-122.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 88.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Carlos Espá finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1664 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
465 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
123 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-78.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Trump say "Bottom of the Sea" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.43May 29, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.03May 29, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00May 29, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.35May 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.02May 29, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.84May 16, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.98Apr 20, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.99Apr 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$45.43Apr 18, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$44.19Apr 18, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$44.22Apr 18, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$41.76Apr 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$41.76Apr 18, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$37.90Apr 18, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$37.93Apr 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$37.96Apr 18, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$0.00Apr 16, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "King" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$0.00Apr 16, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bottom of the Sea" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$1.00Apr 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake news" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$1.00Apr 15, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $18.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.