Stained-Curl
0x5612178f13b8d061be7115ee74e087c4a8ce2ac2
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
9819 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-484.53
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
2526 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- CANADIENS
Lightning vs. Canadiens
212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.91
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
203 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-123.53
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-112.17
- GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
184 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-160.18
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
142 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-59.59
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Nuggets
131 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-73.57
- CINCINNATI REDS
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
128 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-77.96
- ATHLETICS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics
109 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-51.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$104.08Jul 23, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$52.30Jul 22, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$60.62Jul 7, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics$51.94Jun 29, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins$105.28Jun 24, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins$59.74Jun 23, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$103.84Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$68.20Jun 20, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$131.85Jun 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$78.75Jun 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)$45.25Jun 5, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs$174.58May 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$104.27May 27, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$14.71May 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$112.17May 19, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$78.88May 13, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$124.98May 6, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$107.49May 1, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Utah$216.29Apr 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Utah$114.11Apr 27, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $193.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.