Tinted-Tiger
0x561e234b8389d9b13a813e4e35cf135d92b2c991
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$850.97
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-8.39
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10165 shares @ 10.2¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$828.47
$-204.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
321 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
904 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.78
$1.78
- YES
Colombia leading at halftime?
1700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 0 Algeria?
681 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.36
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
379 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?$12.33Jun 24, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?$5.14Jun 24, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo?$9.39Jun 24, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDR Congo to win the second half?$2.05Jun 24, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$16.15Jun 24, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$10.27Jun 24, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?$10.21Jun 24, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$17.34Jun 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDR Congo to win the second half?$17.46Jun 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia leading at halftime?$17.50Jun 24, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLDR Congo leading at halftime?$48.51Jun 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDR Congo leading at halftime?$51.41Jun 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDR Congo leading at halftime?$10.28Jun 24, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$23.26Jun 23, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$26.00Jun 23, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Portugal (-4.5)$74.87Jun 23, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5$104.17Jun 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$16.55Jun 23, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals$155.17Jun 23, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.