Tinted-Tiger
0x561e234b8389d9b13a813e4e35cf135d92b2c991
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$-42.45
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63542 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
2941 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1904 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Colombia leading at halftime?
1700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
982 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-316.50
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?
729 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 0 Algeria?
681 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$84.00Jul 12, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$11.26Jul 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$27.12Jul 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$103.06Jul 11, 22:29 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.87Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.54Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$10.12Jul 6, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 6, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5$89.56Jul 6, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$939.98Jul 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$90.49Jul 6, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$53.26Jul 6, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$50.76Jul 6, 01:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5$26.55Jul 5, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico leading at halftime?$18.40Jul 5, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico leading at halftime?$8.18Jul 5, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$127.89Jul 5, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$13.27Jul 5, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $142.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.