Talkative-Bicycle
0x561f16deb5653d55d7c9949631101073fabbe4fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$84.93
Total PnL
$-9.62
Realised
$4.83
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2420 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.63
$1.21
- YES
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1963 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.94
$0.98
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.94
$0.98
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
1960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.94
$0.98
- YES
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?
1905 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.86
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.00May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.42May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?$0.24May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$0.19May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.02May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.02May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Collier announced as next James Bond?$0.03May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.67May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.00May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?$0.01May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.86May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Collier announced as next James Bond?$0.03May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in May?$0.01May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in May?$0.01May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in May?$0.02May 18, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".