Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Probability
14¢
1h
+1.1pp
24h
+5.0pp
24h Vol
$54.36
Liquidity
$528.67
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 14¢; +1.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 27.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3080.1h
- 15:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 16¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 14¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 7¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 12¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 7¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 3¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 8¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.1pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.1pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.9pp
to 12¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025-26 PFA Players' Player of the Year. If two or more players are announced as winners of the 2026 PFA Players’ Player of the Year award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no 2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Professional Footballers’ Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (27.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).