Menacing-Amazement
0x562524e3ece55f2f2aeca9bff16090b0ec43bd6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.95
Total PnL
$-110.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.62
$0.62
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.14
$1.64
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$-97.14
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.19
$-2.81
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- YES
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-1.86
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
137 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.00Mar 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.00Mar 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?$1.04Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025?$1.04Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.09Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.14Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$2.04Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by December 31?$2.60Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMMacron out in 2025?$3.16Mar 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$100.00Mar 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 18, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$0.00Jan 18, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$3.05Dec 26, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEM5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? $10.06Dec 26, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $14.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.