0x5625b60019c23bc6d7b8e4315c7833297addeda5
0x5625b60019c23bc6d7b8e4315c7833297addeda5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$38.88
Total PnL
$-332.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?
54 shares @ 38.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$20.95
$-0.17
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.57
$0.77
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$0.06
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.09
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
16 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.34
$-0.55
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?
1960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
916 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
705 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.61
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
114 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.31
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
101 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.97Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?$1.97Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?$19.80Jul 27, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.97Jul 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.97Jul 24, 15:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.19Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.95Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.42Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.97Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.97Jul 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$38.98Jul 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jul 19, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jul 19, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.26Jul 19, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jul 19, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$3.95Jul 19, 16:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.