Arctic-Performance
0x564735dad6be7134f551baed03769f2402cede1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$907.23
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-934.79
Win rate
0%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13?
98 shares @ 20.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$97.50
$77.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$82.86
$62.86
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.57
$-46.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1044 shares @ 2.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.67
$26.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?
41 shares @ 48.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$41.36
$21.36
- YES
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.00
$10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$38.64
$28.64
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
672 shares @ 7.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.98
$-13.02
- YES
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
1303 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.83
$5.83
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1063 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$31.88
$-3.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?$10.28Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?$10.33Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?$10.28Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$10.39Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?$10.26Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 14?$10.28Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?$10.26Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 14?$10.37Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14?$10.23Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14?$10.36Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14?$10.29Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14?$10.35Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?$10.28Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?$30.30Jun 13, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13?$44.57Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13?$26.32Jun 13, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?$22.22Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13?$23.81Jun 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 14?$10.26Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 13?$10.38Jun 13, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.