Meek-Tomtom
0x566c2cf296a54c01dcec23e3e95200dd34593d03
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$738.66
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-480.89
Win rate
8%
154 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
138 shares @ 70.8¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$111.68
$14.06
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
97 shares @ 83.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$84.94
$3.65
- NO
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
78 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$77.48
$1.07
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
79 shares @ 82.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$68.99
$3.93
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
57 shares @ 94.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$51.66
$-2.51
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
76 shares @ 94.5¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$42.79
$-28.88
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1032 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$39.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
60 shares @ 36.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$33.14
$11.25
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 10 2026?
104 shares @ 62.2¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$26.64
$-38.31
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?
25 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$25.12
$0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1.34Aug 12, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$5.95Aug 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$5.50Aug 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$7.14Aug 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$6.67Aug 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$2.79Aug 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1.92Aug 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1.48Aug 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$9.45Aug 12, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$2.04Aug 12, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$16.96Aug 11, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$5.29Aug 11, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$4.83Aug 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$5.32Aug 11, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?$77.86Aug 11, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$2.21Aug 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3.02Aug 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1.28Aug 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1.44Aug 11, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 154 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
154 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 154 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.