Thunderous-Confusion
0x5673c503abf020db2c63a4697bfa1634579803de
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-30.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?
3900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$3.8K
$1.9K
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?
3900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$62.40
$-1.9K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
44 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?$10.02Jun 4, 15:26 UTC
- SPLITWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?$3.9KJun 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jun 4, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$13.04Jun 4, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$451.82Jan 26, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$450.00Jan 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$8.00Jan 24, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.00Jan 24, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.03Jan 24, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.50Dec 5, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$10.00Dec 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.00Sep 27, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$15.22Sep 27, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Feb 20, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$14.00Jan 30, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 30, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$17.00Jan 26, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$54.50Jan 26, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$109.00Jan 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Jan 3, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $135.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".