Compassionate-Violin
0x5679936c25c77b4f86d5a116c9e449f3f39ba939
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$69.04
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$255.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
163 shares @ 61.2¢·now 42.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$69.04
$-30.96
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
8699 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4692 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-122.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
3217 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
2909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2625 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?
2194 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1618 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1263 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
1103 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$71.94Jul 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$101.94Jul 21, 05:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$103.64Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$23.06Jul 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$26.20Jul 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5$40.72Jul 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$57.11Jul 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$35.35Jul 19, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$40.83Jul 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?$40.77Jul 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$45.98Jul 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$437.48Jul 19, 18:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$20.90Jul 18, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$37.31Jul 18, 21:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $58.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.