Creepy-Athletics
0x569e0f32fb1b365a673d0e0239c18ed18a79e666
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-180.84
Realised
$2.57
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
815 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
78 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4AM ET
71 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
62 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.03Jun 25, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.06Jun 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.02Jun 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.03Jun 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$0.99Jun 21, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.12Jun 21, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1.72Jun 21, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$1.72Jun 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$1.00Jun 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$1.01Jun 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.12May 27, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.03May 27, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.26May 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.03May 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.59May 26, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.86May 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.76May 23, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.03May 23, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.