Brilliant-Variable
0x56a4960d6f1695e2d8d17c29f8b18b61a5d3e27f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$50.68
Total PnL
$-167.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.01
$1.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 4?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-0.20
- MAJA CHWALINSKA
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4?$5.02Jun 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 4?$5.01Jun 4, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska$2.02Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.04Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$2.10Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$2.11Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$2.38Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.41Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.45Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$5.00May 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 28, 07:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".