Difficult-Mist
0x56ae990d30800f907dcfebeabcc266b81eb8c382
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-226.85
Realised
$63.75
Win rate
100%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.10
$0.11
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.09
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
456 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$0.11
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
456 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$0.11
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
456 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$0.11
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
456 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$140.88Oct 30, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win on 2025-10-12?$48.00Oct 13, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $2.60 on October 12?$84.99Oct 13, 05:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.88Oct 13, 00:00 UTC
- CONVERSIONBitcoin price on October 12?$90.00Oct 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 12?$89.91Oct 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 12?$89.91Oct 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 12?$89.81Oct 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $114,000 on October 12?$0.36Oct 12, 13:07 UTC
- CONVERSIONTottenham vs. Aston Villa$200.00Oct 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?$110.00Oct 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?$148.00Oct 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-10-19?$146.00Oct 12, 13:05 UTC
- CONVERSION2nd Largest company end of October?$200.00Oct 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill “The Woman in Cabin 10” be the top global Netflix movie this week?$53.07Oct 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?$196.40Oct 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$170.00Oct 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the second most valuable company on October 31?$199.60Oct 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$34.00Oct 12, 13:02 UTC
- CONVERSIONDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028$14.00Oct 12, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $44.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".