Frugal-Hosiery
0x56bc9f0ad56b33e7910a295864670b48c30dddaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$47.00
Total PnL
$4.29
Realised
$0.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.00
$1.40
- NO
Austria leading at halftime?
14 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$14.00
$1.26
- YES
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.00
$0.66
- NO
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.00
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAustria leading at halftime?$12.77Jul 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$18.64Jun 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philippines win on 2026-06-03?$10.36Jun 3, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1.00Jun 3, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMSC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5$12.00Jun 3, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 1 Leeds United FC?$0.00Jun 3, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-12?$21.00Jun 3, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5$11.18May 20, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-12?$19.78May 12, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 1 Leeds United FC?$10.83May 11, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$810.97Mar 26, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$805.91Mar 26, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$154.24Mar 26, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$154.24Mar 26, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$580.90Mar 26, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$298.77Mar 26, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$169.09Mar 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$345.58Mar 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$364.98Mar 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$5.28Mar 26, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $302.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.