Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$12.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4542h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $12.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4541.9h
- 18:07SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4542h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.2pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.
Biggest hourly move: -3.8pp at 2d ago (to 8¢).
Show all 15 hour-by-hour ticks
- 02:00 · -3.4pp → 8¢
- 00:00 · -3.3pp → 8¢
- 22:00 · -3.2pp → 8¢
- 21:00 · -3.3pp → 8¢
- 20:00 · -3.1pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -3.6pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -3.8pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- mlb.comOfficial sports resultextracted · highmlb.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.