Better-Onset
0x56c29a537f27e8041fe920fb70024d8bbf83d7f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.50
Total PnL
$-48.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- BEARS
Packers vs. Bears
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-1.78
- YES
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-4.70
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
53 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
39 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$5.00Mar 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$5.00Mar 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$7.00Mar 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.75Feb 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$21.35Feb 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.00Feb 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$6.87Feb 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$4.01Feb 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$3.00Feb 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$15.00Feb 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 19, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.00Jan 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.00Jan 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$3.00Jan 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.06Jan 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Venezuela become 51st state?$1.05Jan 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.07Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.51Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.17Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on US military by January 31?$9.28Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.