Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$29.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5981h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5980.7h
- 19:19SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5981h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 48¢-1.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 20¢-37.5pp
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Other · Vol $725.0K
- 100¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $552.5K
- 48¢+3.5pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Other · Vol $491.2K
- 0¢-1.3pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $476.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- US governmentOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.