Agreeable-Former-Inversion
0x56d3375cf5fc29ea8197b3ce731aea2e8447e307
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$235.66
Total PnL
$-212.88
Realised
$-9.37
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 245?
19 shares @ 87.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$13.19
$-2.97
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 in July?
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.10
$0.90
- NO
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $35B?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.10
$-7.70
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$9.80
$-5.20
- NO
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?
15 shares @ 82.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.68
$-2.62
- YES
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.70
$-6.70
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.90
$0.10
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.80
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$234.70Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?$15.00Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?$6.20Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$1.60Jul 21, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$1.80Jul 21, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$4.45Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$13.20Jul 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$17.80Jul 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$0.89Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$0.89Jul 21, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 6, 2026?$3.54Jul 21, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$0.65Jul 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$0.81Jul 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$17.80Jul 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$18.00Jul 21, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?$2.63Jul 21, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$0.28Jul 21, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$0.32Jul 21, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$1.60Jul 21, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$2.00Jul 21, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.