Elegant-Insight
0x56e26857608289b4d2e8b5e479ade573f36f269b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$960.03
Total PnL
$-68.81
Realised
$19.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
630 shares @ 76.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$548.46
$68.46
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
570 shares @ 40.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$293.55
$65.55
- NO
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
219 shares @ 43.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$71.06
$-23.94
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
417 shares @ 30.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$29.55
$-95.45
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
166 shares @ 60.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.40
$-82.60
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLECB rate hike in 2026?$0.16Jun 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$100.88Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$272.66Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$1.24May 26, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$5.19May 26, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$4.95May 26, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$30.30May 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$50.51May 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$50.58May 22, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$83.62May 22, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$50.58May 22, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.59May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.77May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$103.23May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$102.26May 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$201.70May 4, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $142.86May 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$160.34Apr 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$20.21Apr 30, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $99.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.