0x56e39ff6f594fca0a86272225c853f9823824a26
0x56e39ff6f594fca0a86272225c853f9823824a26
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-47.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$5.15
$0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$4.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?
14 shares @ 34.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.52
$-2.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
22 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
11 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?$4.94Aug 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?$4.75Aug 4, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?$4.73Aug 4, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$0.01Jul 19, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$13.34Jul 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$5.00Jul 16, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.62Jul 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.49Jul 16, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$4.99Jul 16, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$9.33Jul 15, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.76Jul 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.95Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-14?$0.00Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.64Jul 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$5.70Jul 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.00Jul 14, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.