Gleaming-Age
0x56e8bfc686cce2abc3f146b4b953b1e028970e5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.88
Total PnL
$-7.39
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$3.88
$1.36
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Flyers
3 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- FLYERS
Rangers vs. Flyers
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Magic
2 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- CAVALIERS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$2.55Jul 3, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$3.58Jul 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$2.00Jun 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$1.18Jun 27, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$1.75Jun 27, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$3.20Jun 27, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$1.59Jun 23, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$6.07Jun 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$1.20Jun 22, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$5.97Jun 22, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$2.65Jun 21, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$2.01Jun 20, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$9.78Jun 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$2.27May 28, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$3.85May 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.18May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.65May 15, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.60Apr 3, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$1.76Apr 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$1.02Mar 12, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.