Personal-Mosque
0x57016a70d961532a915bf8f2508527c02cb06d2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.15
Total PnL
$-158.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
44390 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.39
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
971 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
963 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
563 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$2.95Jul 4, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies$1.03Jul 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves$1.03Jul 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.03Jul 4, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$1.00Jul 4, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$4.64Jul 4, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Jul 4, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.07Jul 4, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$1.05Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$1.05Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$1.05Jul 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5$1.03Jul 4, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5$1.03Jul 4, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5$1.03Jul 4, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jul 4, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Jul 4, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$4.96Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.04Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.