Personal-Mosque
0x57016a70d961532a915bf8f2508527c02cb06d2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.76
Realised
$-21.23
Win rate
0%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
44390 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.39
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
971 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
963 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
563 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$3.42Jul 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 4.5$1.04Jul 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 6.5$1.05Jul 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 8.5$1.05Jul 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$2.95Jul 4, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies$1.03Jul 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves$1.03Jul 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.03Jul 4, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$1.00Jul 4, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$4.64Jul 4, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Jul 4, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.07Jul 4, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$1.05Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$1.05Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$1.05Jul 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5$1.03Jul 4, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5$1.03Jul 4, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5$1.03Jul 4, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
46 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.