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EntertainmentExpires Jun 30, 2027

Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Probability

65¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 65¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 10328h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 27.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 10328.1h

    LOW
  • 15:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 10328h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (27.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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