Noisy-Talk
0x5711d1e631e76dd09054d3d733e2bcd480645853
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$423.50
Total PnL
$-216.48
Realised
$21.92
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$117.94
$17.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
110 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$110.00
$16.66
- NO
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
115 shares @ 59.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$83.38
$15.53
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
43 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.77
$4.08
- NO
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?
23 shares @ 91.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$17.59
$-3.33
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.81
$2.81
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.13
$1.13
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.35
$3.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.54
$-3.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$9.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$6.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$3.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$14.991d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$11.991d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$11.991d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$11.991d ago
- TRADESELLWill Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$43.342d ago
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by May 15?$44.052d ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$37.002d ago
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$1.852d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?$4.572d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?$5.482d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?$5.482d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?$5.482d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$6.213d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$6.213d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$6.213d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$3.083d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$12.333d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".