Grand-Beak
0x571581ccb605f35f0af032723cbfc5b3f4a41616
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$16.7K
Total PnL
$-21.0K
Realised
$-5.8K
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
54693 shares @ 15.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.9K
$4.6K
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
11116 shares @ 21.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$-683.92
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
5916 shares @ 15.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$766.57
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
14680 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$344.99
$-244.98
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
23854 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$83.49
$-136.61
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
723 shares @ 8.3¢·now 9.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.78
$5.78
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
41304 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-215.81
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
31550 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-835.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
28933 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
22546 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-256.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$159.33Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$159.61Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$12.18Jun 13, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$12.47Jun 13, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$59.26Jun 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$20.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$4.59Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$40.00Jun 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$40.00Jun 12, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$613.00Jun 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00Jun 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$40.00Jun 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$200.00Jun 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$300.00Jun 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.0KJun 12, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.4KJun 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00Jun 12, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.18Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.01Jun 12, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.00Jun 12, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $468.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.