Fortunate-Eye
0x5735a6918d3a7fd0b92f19abd92ffedc8d21239d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-10.27
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?
398 shares @ 55.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$340.46
$120.47
- YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
752 shares @ 52.3¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$263.23
$-130.28
- YES
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
693 shares @ 44.8¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$239.14
$-71.37
- YES
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$76.49
$-6.50
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?
261 shares @ 27.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.87
$-33.12
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
180 shares @ 22.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.10
$-23.30
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
171 shares @ 34.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.72
$-46.03
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.40
$-94.60
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.89
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $400M one day after launch?$51.75Jul 28, 21:41 UTC
- REWARD$1.44Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $400M one day after launch?$112.25Jul 26, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$53.30Jul 22, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$13.59Jul 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5.10Jul 18, 11:37 UTC
- REWARD$1.14Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$53.55Jul 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$25.50Jul 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$10.20Jul 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$25.50Jul 16, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$22.95Jul 16, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.30Jul 16, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$30.01Jul 8, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$73.79Jun 27, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$107.08Jun 27, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?$19.22Jun 27, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?$19.39Jun 27, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?$9.65Jun 27, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?$59.41Jun 27, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $36.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.