Reasonable-Hesitation
0x5787c694f04ec22470bf766099814a5f74f95a48
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$376.16
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$26.72
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
734 shares @ 15.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.77
$-43.23
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2198 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$67.04
$30.34
- YES
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
337 shares @ 12.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.86
$5.60
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.00
$15.00
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
555 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$41.65
$-12.35
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
450 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.52
$7.52
- YES
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
139 shares @ 21.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.17
$-9.83
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
938 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.22
$4.22
- YES
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
217 shares @ 15.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.24
$-16.73
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.44
$-1.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.