Simple-Costume
0x578db02781928eb3fe23b0c0932c7dc223d359ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$162.78
Total PnL
$-311.88
Realised
$-26.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1708 shares @ 19.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.28
$-164.25
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?
134 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
78 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
23 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 20?
21 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$22.00Feb 22, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$22.80Feb 20, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$17.80Feb 20, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesse" or "Jackson" during the Black History Month reception?$2.25Feb 20, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crime" during the Black History Month reception?$3.13Feb 20, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?$5.08Feb 20, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock Market" during the Black History Month reception?$5.66Feb 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during the Black History Month reception?$2.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crime" during the Black History Month reception?$2.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black Vote" during the Black History Month reception?$2.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesse" or "Jackson" during the Black History Month reception?$2.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Love Trump" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?$2.00Feb 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during the Black History Month reception?$3.00Feb 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?$3.00Feb 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$21.62Feb 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$22.00Feb 15, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".