Rectangular-Gorilla
0x57b7efe6482ed75be818f17df65fae1c7304ed71
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.64
Total PnL
$-17.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Cambodia" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance say "Pro-Family" or "Pro-Life" 7+ times during the March for Life?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance say "Young Mom" during the March for Life?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will JD Vance clap between 50–59 times during the State of the Union?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance say "Working class" during the March for Life?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance clap between 50–59 times during the State of the Union?$1.00Feb 25, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$1.31Feb 25, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$1.18Feb 12, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?$3.13Feb 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.96Jan 29, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 29, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 29, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.96Jan 29, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.00Jan 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)$1.00Jan 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Jan 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Jan 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$8.23Jan 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$1.00Jan 25, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 25, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 25, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 25?$1.00Jan 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?$1.00Jan 25, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.