Delectable-Sweatshirt
0x57beef33027c4041d2758ffcd18efc409816e140
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$31.27
Total PnL
$-90.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
46 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$4.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.09
$-5.90
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.61
$-0.39
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.14
$1.14
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.61
$-3.39
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.37
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$1.00Jul 12, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$1.46Jul 12, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$1.00Jul 12, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$0.50Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$0.70Jul 10, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$0.70Jul 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$0.13Jul 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 10, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 10?$1.05Jul 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 10, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$1.05Jul 10, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$1.00Jul 10, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$1.00Jul 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.05Jul 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$2.00Jul 9, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$2.00Jul 9, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?$0.03Jul 9, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?$0.03Jul 9, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.