Ill-Fated-Numeric
0x57f16d0901c68d0e5f36ae2ea38317818cf943ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$9.89
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
27768 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-193.24
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
2319 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?
1325 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 69?
1149 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1033 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross between $28-31m on opening weekend?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
928 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
899 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-41.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.56Jun 3, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$199.37Jun 2, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$40.00Mar 16, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Mar 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 16, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$49.00Mar 4, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$47.60Mar 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$86.70Mar 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.60Mar 4, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$8.00Mar 4, 19:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.14Feb 26, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$96.00Feb 25, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$100.00Feb 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$20.00Feb 25, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$208.16Feb 25, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$150.00Feb 25, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$50.00Feb 25, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$30.00Feb 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$15.00Feb 25, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $53.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".