Practical-Bench
0x58250a044c54eadb7e2e7ddc6f2a8975b65eaf22
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$416.78
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-162.69
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1067 shares @ 17.8¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$416.78
$226.20
- NO
Will Noetix Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
818 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-254.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?
306 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$339.11Jul 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND O/U 1.5 Rounds AND Fight to Go the Distance?$25.00Jul 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND O/U 1.5 Rounds AND Fight to Go the Distance?$34.99Jul 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5 AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$154.07Jul 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5 AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$100.00Jul 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$10.00Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.49Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$253.25Jul 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$173.99Jul 11, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$2.43Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5)$106.03Jul 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.70Jul 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5)$49.99Jul 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$49.99Jul 10, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?$88.92Jul 9, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $85.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.