Tidy-Espalier
0x582e15465bf327797ecd12b82332a3674212ff4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$55.25
Total PnL
$-42.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
20 shares @ 83.9¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$15.19
$-1.81
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 24.9¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
38 shares @ 78.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$17.14Jun 2, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$20.06Jun 2, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$10.18Jun 2, 09:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump kiss by May 31?$13.12May 23, 01:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?$34.41May 22, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?$32.09May 20, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $12.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".