Ill-Fated-Router
0x58323c9c1d36c6eaec9c42aa91d5de3c0ad7b9db
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$22.92
Total PnL
$-294.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 8.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.92
$20.67
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?
196 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 19?
190 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET
176 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
158 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-151.33
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 18?
154 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?
152 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on July 1?
150 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 16?
123 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 11PM ET
121 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$47.00Jul 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$0.05Jul 19, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$44.18Jul 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 10?$1.76Jul 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on July 1?$1.44Jun 30, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$2.51Jun 3, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $800 in May?$56.79Jun 1, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $800 in May?$55.20May 31, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 24?$49.21May 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 24?$44.83May 23, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$51.22May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$48.15May 16, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?$46.72May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?$43.87May 7, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$2.79Apr 28, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 18?$0.00Apr 28, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 19?$2.66Apr 19, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 6 2026?$42.45Apr 19, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$2.90Apr 14, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 6 2026?$0.05Apr 10, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.