Knowing-Avalanche
0x5839be4b6f5c9ef30ce341e5fa9d7230356378f9
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$208.41
Total PnL
$-5.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.14
$35.14
- NO
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$27.90
$1.50
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 83.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.97
$1.27
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.86
$-35.14
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.63
$0.43
- YES
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.21
$0.10
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
35 shares @ 33.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.93
$-2.82
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.25
$0.35
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.99
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0122h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- REDEEMWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$2.004d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.006d ago
- REDEEMWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.416d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- REDEEMWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$10.4511d ago
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?$17.2611d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
- REDEEMWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?$0.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?$0.0012d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 24d ago
- Last active
- 22h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.