Knowing-Avalanche
0x5839be4b6f5c9ef30ce341e5fa9d7230356378f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$207.68
Total PnL
$-2.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.15
$35.15
- YES
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
60 shares @ 90.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.77
$1.67
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 83.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.10
$2.40
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.85
$-35.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.95
$0.75
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.25
$0.35
- VINICIUS
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr.
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.49
$1.59
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-0.78
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-5.10
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.95
$-0.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$7.70Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia win on 2026-06-09?$10.00Jun 11, 08:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. $2.45Jun 9, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. $2.45Jun 9, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$9.99Jun 8, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$8.05Jun 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.80Jun 8, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia win on 2026-06-09?$8.90Jun 7, 15:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.