Original-Administrator
0x5844443ae4a0f5fb93ddd4fe7711a6eb43a93b8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
3838 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
3671 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-51.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
1442 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-749.79
- YES
Faithless elector in US election?
400 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-116.00
- YES
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?
349 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFaithless elector in US election?$116.00Nov 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,300 on November 29?$55.00Nov 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$50.00Nov 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$1.40Nov 28, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$0.00Nov 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.15Nov 16, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$206.36Nov 16, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$4.00Nov 16, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$4.00Nov 16, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.80Nov 16, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$0.90Nov 16, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$129.73Nov 16, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$100.00Nov 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?$31.66Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$214.17Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$200.00Nov 16, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $202.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.