Taut-Formal
0x586b34afe4098a33df979964d8b60c04e312aa5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$89.82
Total PnL
$10.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
20 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$20.00
$0.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?
10 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$10.00
$9.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
10 shares @ 3.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$10.00
$9.62
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.32
$7.49
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.22
$7.39
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.63
$4.79
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.83
$3.99
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.92
$3.09
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.73
$2.89
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.57
$1.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?$10.00Jun 11, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$9.67Jun 11, 01:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONBitcoin price on June 11?$10.00Jun 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11?$9.92Jun 11, 01:32 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup Winner $50.00Jun 11, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.18Jun 11, 01:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Mar 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$19.40Mar 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.9KMar 12, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$190.00Mar 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.4KMar 12, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.2KMar 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$106.80Mar 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$83.20Mar 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.0KMar 12, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$410.99Mar 12, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.5KMar 12, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.