Rare-Game
0x586f1c7c648d93f0a89a46b8b95b60c47f64ce5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$381.15
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$160.48
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4808 shares @ 5.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$300.48
$50.49
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
441 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$71.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
1732 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-866.12
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
1155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?
1131 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-192.50
- YES
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
974 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?
908 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-256.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 13?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$164.52Jun 14, 16:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.14Jun 11, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$25.63Jun 11, 18:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 8, 22:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$338.98Jun 4, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$202.46Jun 4, 15:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$152.25Jun 3, 11:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $98.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.