Fitting-Insight
0x586faba6c2096ae2d30f4de99aae2610f45fe191
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$8.98
Total PnL
$-119.97
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 7.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 2.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jun 5, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$1.00Apr 24, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$1.00Apr 24, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 24, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.94Apr 24, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.36Apr 24, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.25Apr 24, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.17Apr 24, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.00Apr 24, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 24, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 22, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?$0.44Mar 7, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.90Mar 7, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".