Perfect-Snow
0x588d8ad70dcbb3d54edb757b47b0c9b68171563d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$114.66
Total PnL
$-485.52
Realised
$-2.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
458 shares @ 8.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.32
$-3.21
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
203 shares @ 24.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.41
$-18.63
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 6.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.20
$-17.80
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
238 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.74
$-2.26
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
6862 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-105.19
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
3020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
2439 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
752 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-37.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$10.28Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.25Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.55Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.02Jun 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.12Jun 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.26Jun 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.38Jun 7, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.21Jun 7, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$0.06Jun 6, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$0.15Jun 4, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$0.64Jun 2, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$6.00May 31, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$3.19May 31, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$2.35May 29, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$6.00May 27, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$23.19May 27, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$3.19May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$2.16May 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.27May 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.42May 15, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.