Sympathetic-Snowman
0x5896a5578f7879fec32764c2b8fe7dc72a1bd316
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.46
Total PnL
$-4.47
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.05Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.06Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.08Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.11Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.12Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.16Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.19Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.17Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$0.11Jan 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$0.89Jan 3, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.00Jan 3, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00Jan 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.00Jan 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.00Jan 3, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 3, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.00Jan 3, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".