Formal-Fail
0x5899b7d26dfab6cedde9517d709f355b1f5154f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.54
Total PnL
$-18.31
Realised
$-18.23
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.00
$0.41
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.23
$0.05
- NO
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$1.31
$0.03
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
3 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Apr 28, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.14Apr 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.96Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.18Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$24.00Apr 25, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$24.02Apr 25, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$24.15Apr 25, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$26.38Apr 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.57Apr 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.57Apr 25, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$28.29Apr 25, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$28.32Apr 25, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.90Apr 24, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.56Apr 24, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25.95Apr 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$25.32Apr 24, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$24.91Apr 24, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$25.58Apr 24, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?$25.56Apr 23, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.