Friendly-Marble
0x58a29cf206179a4b497183fe1cbc740eeadba1ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$60.87
Total PnL
$-503.86
Realised
$13.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
304 shares @ 30.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$37.95
$-54.64
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.28
$5.10
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.50
$-0.10
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.20
$-3.40
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.30
$-1.20
- YES
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?
121 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.21
$-7.26
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-1.57
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
294 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
213 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.41
- YES
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
144 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-71.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.30May 31, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.90May 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.24May 27, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.00May 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.36May 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$16.64May 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17.50May 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$23.34May 24, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.25May 24, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.01May 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$4.20May 18, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$2.05May 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$2.08May 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$3.77May 18, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.07May 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.07May 18, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00May 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$3.82May 18, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2.13May 18, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$4.44May 18, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.