Phony-Saloon
0x58a59dd903370d5b20ea7c2084d17dca73c4dc42
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$902.81
Total PnL
$3.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
227 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.93
$1.93
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
192 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$189.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?
182 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
158 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$157.08
$0.08
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
152 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.44
$1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$190.07Jun 8, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$180.06Jun 8, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$157.00Jun 8, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$222.00Jun 8, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$171.03Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$254.84Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$323.94Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$322.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$170.00May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$150.00May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$250.19May 18, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$201.61May 18, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$213.58May 18, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$262.89May 18, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$197.10May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$260.00Apr 27, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$200.00Apr 27, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 7?$225.84Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 6?$250.70Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 6?$250.00Apr 6, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $237.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.