Specific-Clipboard
0x58b7cc7865dfbf440880edc895b58d70d78cabfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$17.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
445 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$402.72
$37.82
- NO
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
490 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$396.90
$0.00
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
400 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$42.34Jun 15, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$289.66Jun 15, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$126.36Jun 2, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$270.54Jun 2, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$315.26May 24, 02:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$331.54May 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$466.56May 17, 02:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$112.35May 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$252.55May 12, 03:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$161.74May 10, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$307.48May 10, 03:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $137.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.